Neil Ferguson wiki
Professor Ferguson said that the limited knowledge of the disease at the time meant it was hard to gauge when the economically crippling measures should be implemented.
But he conceded that, in hindsight, tens of thousands of lives could have been saved if the lockdown had come a week earlier
Professor Ferguson made the stark admission at a virtual House of Commons Science and Technology Committee briefing.
Neil Ferguson clamied britain coronavirus casses
Professor Ferguson also claimed that Britain missed 90 per cent of its coronavirus cases because it was not screening passengers at airports, in a
Britain’s death toll from COVID-19 could have been halved if lockdown was introduced a week earlier, ‘Professor Lockdown’ Neil Ferguson has claimed
thinly-veiled jab at the Government.
Professor Ferguson made the stark admission at a virtual House of Commons Science and Technology Committee briefing today in a rare public appearance since flouting stay at home rules to have secret trysts with his married mistress
The epidemiologist told MPs today: ‘The epidemic was doubling every three to four days before lockdown interventions were introduced.
‘So had we introduced lockdown measures a week earlier, we would have then reduced the final death toll by at least a half,
Neil Fergusion introduce the final death
Professor Ferguson claimed that a lack of screening at airports was the route cause of Britain’s catastrophic outbreak.
He claimed he was sounding the alarm about imported cases coming from Italy and Spain since February.
Professor Ferguson criticised the UK for taking too long to ramp up its testing capacity, which meant swabs were reserved for only very sick Covid patients.
The result was that thousands of infected people were allowed to fly in from Europe and spread the virus through the UK.
Professor Ferguson told MPs: ‘We tried very hard to estimate what proportion of cases were being missed. At the time [before lockdown] we didn’t have a policy of screening people at borders and we estimated then that two-thirds of cases were being missed.
‘What we know now is… it’s probably 90 per cent of cases imported to this country were missed.
‘These were really decisions made by the Foreign Office and by the Department of Health and Social Care, not by SAGE.
He calculated the death rate to be one per cent, and the pre-lockdown reproduction rate (R) to be 3.18, meaning every 10 patients infected a further 32.
Neil Ferguson Quick Facts
- Boris Johnson introduced the lockdown on March 23 on back of grim modelling
- Ferguson said timing was correct based on limited data scientists had at time
- But in hindsight lockdown should’ve come a week earlier and saved 20,000 lives
- Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19